SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Mechelen |
40.67% ( 7.16) | 24.22% ( -0.54) | 35.11% ( -6.63) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 2.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( 2.87) | 42.21% ( -2.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( 2.81) | 64.61% ( -2.81) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( 5.09) | 20.89% ( -5.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( 7.39) | 53.6% ( -7.39) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -2.1) | 23.71% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( -3.11) | 57.84% ( 3.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.93) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.97)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 1.05)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.6)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.88)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.6)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.47)Other @ 2.77% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.31)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.66)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.85) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -1.47)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -1.46)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.68)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.9)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.35)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.11% |
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