SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Mechelen |
60.86% ( -0.06) | 20.37% ( 0.01) | 18.76% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.22% ( 0.01) | 37.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.97% ( 0.01) | 60.02% ( -0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( -0.02) | 12.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.5% ( -0.03) | 37.5% ( 0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( 0.05) | 33.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% ( 0.05) | 70.18% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 18.76% |
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