Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 69.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.