SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Westerlo win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Union SG |
20.93% ( 0.14) | 21.76% ( 0.23) | 57.31% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.28% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -0.87) | 41.05% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.89) | 63.44% ( 0.89) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( -0.36) | 33.3% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.4) | 69.92% ( 0.4) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -0.4) | 14.12% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.23% ( -0.8) | 41.76% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.93% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.31% |
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