SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Union SG |
29.26% ( -0.31) | 25.8% ( 0.08) | 44.94% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( -0.5) | 51.2% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.44) | 73.04% ( 0.44) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.48) | 31.85% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.56) | 68.3% ( 0.56) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( -0.1) | 22.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( -0.15) | 56.4% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.94% |
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