SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Union SG |
46.93% ( 0.03) | 23.79% ( -0.01) | 29.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( 0.02) | 42.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% ( 0.02) | 64.85% ( -0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( 0.02) | 18.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% ( 0.03) | 49.35% ( -0.03) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0) | 27.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.01) | 62.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.27% |
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