SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 8.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.11%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Eupen |
76.74% ( 1.05) | 14.59% ( -0.45) | 8.67% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.42% ( 0.11) | 34.57% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.12) | 56.51% ( -0.13) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.59% ( 0.24) | 7.4% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.32% ( 0.62) | 26.68% ( -0.63) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.51% ( -1.22) | 46.49% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.9% ( -0.95) | 82.1% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Eupen |
| 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.31)1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.1)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 76.73% | 1-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.86% Total : 14.59% | 0-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.4% Total : 8.67% |
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