SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Union SG |
26.26% ( -0.41) | 24.26% ( -0.01) | 49.47% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( -0.26) | 46.61% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( -0.24) | 68.88% ( 0.24) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( -0.46) | 31.73% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.84% ( -0.53) | 68.16% ( 0.53) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( 0.07) | 18.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.62% ( 0.11) | 50.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.26% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.47% |
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