As it is fair to say that neither side is prolific, a low-scoring affair is in prospect. America should edge it, as they have conceded only five goals at home this term and their opponents' glaring lack of firepower remains unresolved.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.
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