Fortaleza have certainly struggled this season, but their visitors are not near the peak of their powers either.
Ultimately we envisage a tight encounter with neither having a real edge over the other and predict a share of the spoils as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
-0.14) 
0.08) 
