While Sao Paulo have been unable to see out victories in recent weeks, they come into the game with a strong unbeaten run to build on, and we see them retuning to winning ways with home advantage against an America Mineiro side far from their best form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.
-0.23) 
0.38) 
