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Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
AM

Palmeiras
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro


Rafael (81')
FT

Zaracho (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 38.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Mineiro
38.24%23.14%38.62%
Both teams to score 64.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.48%36.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.34%58.66%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43%19.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52%51.48%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6%19.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8%51.2%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 38.24%
    Atletico Mineiro 38.62%
    Draw 23.13%
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Mineiro
2-1 @ 8.28%
1-0 @ 6.19%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 4.55%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 38.62%

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