Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
