SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
40.16% ( 0.06) | 26.16% ( -0.01) | 33.67% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.01) | 51.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( 0.01) | 73.01% ( -0.01) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 0.04) | 25.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.23% ( 0.06) | 59.76% ( -0.05) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( -0.03) | 28.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.32% ( -0.04) | 64.68% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.67% |
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