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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
AM

Corinthians
2 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties
Bidu (34'), Guedes (65')
Bidu (38')
FT
(aet)

Paulinho (35'), Rubens (57'), Hulk (70'), Everson (99')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Corinthians and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%).

Result
CorinthiansDrawAtletico Mineiro
32.92%27.33%39.75%
Both teams to score 49.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98%56.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89%77.11%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82%68.18%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45%27.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93%63.07%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 32.91%
    Atletico Mineiro 39.75%
    Draw 27.33%
CorinthiansDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.75%

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