We have seen gradual improvements at Fortaleza, but not enough to suggest they will be able to defeat a side like Athletico Paranaense, who are in fine form with several weapons contributing in midfield and the attacking third.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.38) 
-0.15) 
