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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 22, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
AP

Bahia
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Bahia
Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 0-1 Athletico Paranaense

Bahia will use this match as a measuring stick for what they might be up against next season, should they remain in a position to earn a promotion. On the opposite side, expect it to be all business for Furacao, who will be hungry to finish what they could not do last season and lift this trophy for a second time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
48.89% (-0.598 -0.6) 26.64% (0.215 0.22) 24.47% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 46.59% (-0.231 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.486 -0.49)57.31% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.388 -0.39)78.14% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.48 -0.48)23.51% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.699 -0.7)57.55% (0.697 0.7)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.078000000000003 0.08)39.08% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.89%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.47%
    Draw 26.63%
BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.89%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Bahia
Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, December 2 at 9pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Bahia
Monday, November 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 3-1 Gremio
Friday, November 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Santos
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, May 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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