Athletico Paranaense won both Brasileiro meetings with Juventude last season, and after winning three of their last five league games, we think that the visitors will clinch a narrow victory on Wednesday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.45) 
0.15) 
