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Thursday, March 28
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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Jun 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Sport

Paulista (80' pen.)
Titi (37'), Carlinhos (48'), David (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lourenco Louzer Filho (31'), Roberto Moccelin (35'), Ricardinho (43'), Maidana (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawSport Recife
55.17%24.62%20.21%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1%53.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64%75.36%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54%19.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68%51.32%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61%41.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1%77.9%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 55.16%
    Sport Recife 20.21%
    Draw 24.62%
FortalezaDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.11%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.21%

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