Spurred on by the bitter taste of defeat to their close rivals, Palmeiras are surely set to recover immediately, as they fulfil their third fixture in under a week - significantly, Avai's defensive record is among the worst in Serie A so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Avai had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Avai win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Avai	Draw	Palmeiras
22.64% ( -0.41)	24.97% ( -0.28)	52.39% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.35% (

0.69)

52.65% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7% (

0.59)

74.29% (

-0.59)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

-0)

38.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

-0)

74.95% (

-0)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

0.55)

20.08% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

0.88)

52.32% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Avai 22.64%

Palmeiras 52.39%

Draw 24.96%

Avai	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.56% Total : 22.64%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 52.39%