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A
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio da Ressacada
F

Avai
3 - 2
Fortaleza

Muriqui (33'), Bissoli (40' pen., 70' pen.)
Renato (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Robson (44'), Moises (65')
Welison (17'), Robson (67'), Boeck (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Avai 1-1 Fortaleza

At times these teams have shown that they are capable of being potent in the attacking third, but consistency has not been a feature for either side so expect to see a tight match between two squads who have not conceded much in their recent fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avai would win this match.

Result
AvaiDrawFortaleza
40.81% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 27.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 31.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)57.78% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)78.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)27.79% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)63.38% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)33.66% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-0.012 -0.01)70.31% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Avai 40.8%
    Fortaleza 31.47%
    Draw 27.71%
AvaiDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Avai
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Avai
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Juventude
Sunday, May 15 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Ceara
Thursday, June 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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