Both sides struggle defensively which means it is unlikely there will be a clean sheet in this match.
However, the quality of Sao Paulo, particularly up front with Calleri, should give the visitors an edge and inflict a fourth consecutive defeat on Avai.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Avai had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.45) 
0.89) 
