SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
61.11% ( -0.34) | 21.77% ( 0.07) | 17.12% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( 0.16) | 46.8% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( 0.15) | 69.05% ( -0.16) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( -0.06) | 14.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( -0.11) | 43.12% ( 0.1) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.43) | 40.77% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( 0.39) | 77.35% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahia | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.12% |
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