Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.02) 
