Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.31) 
0.12) 
