Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Botafogo
51.78% ( 1.11)	24.1% ( -0.29)	24.11% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

0.45)

47.77% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

0.42)

69.96% (

-0.42)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

0.61)

18.44% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39% (

1.02)

49.61% (

-1.03)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

-0.47)

34.14% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

-0.51)

70.83% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 51.78%

Botafogo 24.11%

Draw 24.1%

Fluminense	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.78%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.11%