Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-4.11) 
1.05) 
