Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
