Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Goias had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avai would win this match.
