Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
