With only four goals from their first seven away games of the campaign, Avai are unlikely to pose a sustained threat to the Bragantino goal.
As the hosts should also dictate the play from midfield - bossing the ball and controlling the tempo - only one moment of magic may be needed to secure maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.24) 
