Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.19) 
0.02) 
