Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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