Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Criciuma | Draw | Vitoria |
44.7% ( 0.02) | 26.62% | 28.68% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.26% ( -0.01) | 54.74% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.94% ( -0.01) | 76.05% ( 0.01) |
Criciuma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( 0) | 24.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% ( 0) | 58.79% ( -0) |
Vitoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.85% ( -0.02) | 34.15% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.16% ( -0.02) | 70.84% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Criciuma | Draw | Vitoria |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.68% |
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