SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
59.77% ( 0.25) | 22.01% ( -0.03) | 18.21% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.23) | 46.11% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.22) | 68.41% ( 0.22) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( 0) | 15.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.5% ( 0.01) | 43.5% ( -0.01) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( -0.39) | 39.07% ( 0.39) |
