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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
AM

Bragantino
3 - 3
America Mineiro

America Mineiro win 4-3 on penalties
Vinicios (5', 45+3'), Ortiz (57')
Goncalves Martins (87')
FT
(aet)
Mastriani (45+1', 90+10' pen.), Eder (45+5')
Eder (40'), Paulinho (66'), Rodriguinho (69'), Martinez (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Bragantino
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We say: Bragantino 2-0 America Mineiro (Bragantino win 3-1 on aggregate)

An in-form Bragantino side should have little stress in seeing off the side currently bottom of the Brasileiro and booking their place in the quarter-finals. With America Mineiro's woeful form of late, a cup run may boost confidence but also be a distraction, and the flurry of changes expected means Mancini may be focusing on avoiding relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.68%).

Result
BragantinoDrawAmerica Mineiro
59.26% (0.844 0.84) 22.29% (0.127 0.13) 18.45% (-0.97 -0.97)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-2.109 -2.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (-1.959 -1.96)46.93% (1.961 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (-1.854 -1.85)69.18% (1.857 1.86)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)15.47% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.72600000000001 -0.73)44.34% (0.728 0.73)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (-2.206 -2.21)39.29% (2.208 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (-2.125 -2.13)75.99% (2.126 2.13)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 59.25%
    America Mineiro 18.45%
    Draw 22.29%
BragantinoDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.77 0.77)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.275 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.486 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.305 -0.31)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Bragantino
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-3 Bragantino
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Internacional
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 16 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 3-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-4 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 5-1 Colo-Colo
Tuesday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 America Mineiro (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil


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