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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
G

Vasco
1 - 0
Gremio

Vegetti (80')
Praxedes (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reinaldo (45')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Vasco
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawGremio
35.8% (-2.285 -2.29) 28.4% (-0.27 -0.27) 35.79% (2.557 2.56)
Both teams to score 46.6% (1 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (1.128 1.13)59.72% (-1.125 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.856 0.86)80.02% (-0.854 -0.85)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)31.73% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.995 -0.99)68.15% (0.999 1)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (2.295 2.3)31.74% (-2.292 -2.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (2.553 2.55)68.16% (-2.55 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 35.8%
    Gremio 35.79%
    Draw 28.39%
Vasco da GamaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.79 -0.79)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.622 -0.62)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.529 0.53)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.335 0.34)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.344 0.34)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Vasco
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, June 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Goias
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 23 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Gremio
Wednesday, July 5 at 1am in Copa do Brasil


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