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Thursday, March 28
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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 at 11pm UK
 
G

Sport
1 - 0
Gremio

Sander (34')
Andre (37'), Maidana (43'), Moccelin (45+1'), Oliveira (70'), Trellez (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique (45+1'), Fernando (48'), Kannemann (50'), Rafinha (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawGremio
30.66%25.06%44.29%
Both teams to score 55.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59%47.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37%69.63%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06%28.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17%64.83%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58%21.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57%54.43%
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 30.66%
    Gremio 44.29%
    Draw 25.05%
Sport RecifeDrawGremio
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.29%

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