Although derby delight will have boosted confidence in the camp, 10 days on, an Internacional side hit by absences and rarely at their best away from home will surely stumble again. Bahia do not boast the best record at Arena Fonte Nova but have some in-form forwards that could cause Inter trouble.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
0.5) 
-0.1) 
