Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
