Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
