Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.05) 
