Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 42.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.
