Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
2.16) 
-2.35) 
