Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
32.9% ( 2.16)	27.57% ( 0.19)	39.54% ( -2.35)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.09% (

-0.17)

56.91% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.18% (

-0.14)

77.82% (

0.14)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

1.43)

32.22% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

1.59)

68.71% (

-1.59)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-1.38)

28.09% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-1.78)

63.76% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 32.9%

Atletico Mineiro 39.54%

Draw 27.56%

Coritiba	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.9%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.54%