Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
