Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
1.03) 
-1.04) 
