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G
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio da Serrinha
F

Goias
2 - 3
Fluminense

Raul (44'), Nicolas (80')
Maguinho (85'), Junior (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arias (28'), Cano (84'), Willian (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 0-0 Goias
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Goias 1-2 Fluminense

Fluminense have enjoyed a solid campaign so far and head into Wednesday unbeaten in their last eight outings. The Fluzao completed the league double over the hosts last term and we are backing them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
GoiasDrawFluminense
27.17% (0.503 0.5) 28.16% (-0.582 -0.58) 44.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.61% (1.802 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (2.105 2.11)60.91% (-2.107 -2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (1.55 1.55)80.92% (-1.554 -1.55)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (1.618 1.62)38.72% (-1.622 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (1.502 1.5)75.46% (-1.505 -1.51)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (1.042 1.04)27.2% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (1.337 1.34)62.61% (-1.339 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Goias 27.17%
    Fluminense 44.68%
    Draw 28.16%
GoiasDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.95% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 27.17%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.53% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.69 -0.69)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.192 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.162 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 44.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventude 0-0 Goias
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-3 Atletico GO
Wednesday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Goias
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-0 Goias
Wednesday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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