Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Bragantino win it was 1-0 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
