Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
