Expect to see plenty of urgency from each side who will know that a victory could very well send them into the next round of the competition.
The firepower of Mass Bruta should carry them through, as Nacional have made a lot more mistakes than their Brazilian adversaries, which is why we are favouring Bragantino to win this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
-0.03) 
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