Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
-0.37) 
0.27) 
